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American analyst: The real obstacle to ratification of the protocols by the Turkish parliament is the lack of progress on settling the Nagorno-Karabakh issue

09 March 2010 09:04 (UTC +04:00)

â€œThe real obstacle to ratification of the protocols by the Turkish parliament is the lack of progress on settling the Nagorno-Karabakh issue. Without some visible progress toward resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh issue, the Turkish parliament is unlikely to ratify the protocolsâ€ â€“ Mr. Larrabee said.

According to the analyst, Congressâ€™s Committee vote will annoy many Turks but will not seriously harm US-Turkish relations as long as the resolution is not put to a vote before the full House of Representatives.

â€œIt is the vote before the full House that is most important not the committee vote. As noted above, the administration now seems to have an agreement that the resolution will not be put to a floor vote in the House. According to news reports, the Obama administration has achieved an agreement with the House leadership that the resolution will not be put to a floor vote. If the reports are true, this should defuse the potential crisisâ€ â€“ he added.

Another analyst, Mark Meirowitz, who holds a doctorate in Politics and teaches undergraduate courses in Politics, History and Law at various colleges in New York, believes that, the US House Committee resolution was "unnecessary".

â€œI do not believe that it is the appropriate function of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs to become the tribunal or platform to evaluate historical events. In my opinion, the Armenian Genocide Resolution will harm US-Turkish relations, serves no useful purpose and should not be approvedâ€ â€“ analyst told APAâ€™s Washington correspondent.

According to him, the impact of the passage of the House Committee resolution is harmful mostly in a symbolic way.

â€œThe Turkish government needs to remain calm about this, and devote its energies to working out a rapprochement with Armenia; including getting the scholars commission established to study the events in Armenia. So long as the full House does not take up the resolution, the damage will be limited. I do note that even if the House passed it, which would be a terrible development, such a resolution would not be bindingâ€, - said Mr. Meirowitz, who is also a business lawyer in New York.