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Armenian political analyst: â€œCentral Asian members of the CSTO will not bear arms against Azerbaijan, their Turkic and Muslim brother, in case of start of a warâ€

05 July 2012 08:20 (UTC +04:00)

Moscow. Farid Akbarov â€“ APA. â€œWithdrawal of Uzbekistan from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) will not weaken the organizationâ€, said Russian political analyst, editor-in-chief of â€œProblems of National Strategyâ€ journal Ajdar Kurtov in the Moscow-Astana-Yerevan telebridge entitled â€œSecurity in the south border of the CISâ€ held in Moscow, APAâ€™s Moscow correspondent reports.

According to him, Uzbekistanâ€™s activity in this organization was not heartwarming: â€œThis step of Uzbekistanâ€™s government is a political mistake. It is not a forward-looking step. The Uzbek people will pay the results of the step of Karimovâ€™s government. Withdrawal of Uzbekistan from the CSTO will lead to start of local armed conflicts in the Central Asia. There are interstate contradictions in the Central Asia in the issues of energy, water and land use. These contradictions can cause an armed conflict between Uzbekistan and Tajikistanâ€.

Director of International Research Analytic Center under Moscow State Institute of International Relations Andrey Kazantsev said that Uzbekistan had formally suspend its activity in the CSTO long time ago: â€œUzbekistan hasnâ€™t been functioning in the organizations for several years and donâ€™t attend the organizationâ€™s events. Thatâ€™s why Uzbekistanâ€™s withdrawal from the CSTO will not impact the organizationâ€™s activityâ€.

Armenian political analysts said that Uzbekistanâ€™s withdrawal from the CSTO is of no account for Armenia. Chief of Political Studies Department of the Caucasus Institute Sergey Minasyan said that Central Asian republics will not render assistance to the CSTO if the Nagorno Karabakh war starts: â€œThe Islamic and Turkic factor will show itself here. They will not bear arms against Azerbaijan, their Turkic and Islamic brother. Thatâ€™s why Uzbekistanâ€™s withdrawal from the CSTO doesnâ€™t have a negative effect on Armeniaâ€™s security in the Caucasus. Armenia has a giant ally like Russia and Armenia cooperates with Russia in military sphere within the CSTO. We hope Russia will help Armenia, the CSTO member, if the war in Armenia starts. Otherwise, Russia will lose both Armenia and Azerbaijan, which regained Nagorno Karabakhâ€¦â€

Another Armenian political analyst David Jamalyan said that the current situation in the South Caucasus was satisfying Russia: â€œIn my opinion, the status-quo in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict satisfies Russiaâ€.

Kazakhstanâ€™s political analyst said that Kazakhstan supported the peaceful settlement of Nagorno Karabakh conflict.