US analyst: “As long as Armenia is receiving full economic, political and military support from a major power while still occupying Nagorno-Karabakh, there is no role for the Westâ€
In the meanwhile, the analyst says, “President Medvedev’s latest statement that Gabala radar will not take part in a European missile defense program would indicate such an offer is no longer on the table.
Speaking about the main differences between the Russian and Western approaches to South Caucasus, Mr. Coyle mentioned that in general, the Russians seem more attuned to the geo-political importance of the countries in the Caucasus while the West seems more interested in economics.
“Russia is interested in friendship treaties, while the West is interested in pipeline routes. Russia is also interested in pipelines, but only to the extent that pipelines can be used to further their geo-political interests. The West is more concerned with energy supplies for Europeâ€.
The analyst also pointed out, the fact that Azerbaijan has huge swaths of its territory occupied by a neighboring state is a major threat to the regional stability. “Stability can only be assured when all countries in a region live in peace with borders that are recognized by the other countries in the regionâ€.
As for the possible Western role on resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh issue, Mr. Coyle said, “As long as Armenia is receiving full economic, political and military support from a major power while still occupying Nagorno-Karabakh, there is no role for the Westâ€.
Foreign
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