Foreign

Home page

Foreign

US analyst: â€œPost-Soviet conflicts may become a matter of violent confrontation once a multilateral diplomacy runs its courseâ€

12 December 2011 09:55 (UTC +04:00)

The analyst underlined several factors for the possible instability.

â€œThere are several frozen conflicts - Nagorno-Karabakh; Abkhazia/South Ossetia and Transnistria that remain unresolved. Since all of them have a vital strategic importance for major powers in the region, they may become a matter of violent confrontation once a multilateral diplomacy runs its courseâ€, he said.

Mr. Kudelia believes that, all Russia, Europe and the US are interested in maintaining stability in the region. However, they have different expectations about the sources of this stability.

â€œThe West is interested in preventing Russia’s renewed attempts to re-integrate post-Soviet states into a so-called Eurasian Unionâ€, he says adding, hence, the West will try to promote the development of civil society in the region, while also supporting the sovereign rights of post-Soviet countries and backing projects that would enhance their economic independence.

â€œFor Russia, stability is primarily in closer integration of post-Soviet space and increasing dependence of these countries on Moscow. Hence, the ideal of post-Soviet space for Russia consists of clientilistic states, which tightly coordinate their economic and security policies with the Kremlinâ€, he added.