UN offers a new global reserve currency
The proposal comes on the heels of the controversial call by China’s central bank governor, Zhou Xiaochuan, to create a new world currency reserve to replace the US dollar as part of a sweeping overhaul of global finance, which is suffering its worst crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
China and many developing countries blame the crisis on US mishandling of overextended mortgage loans and investments in them.
"A new global reserve system... with regular or cyclically adjusted emissions calibrated to the size of reserve accumulations, could contribute to global stability, economic strength and global equity," the panel said in a document released in New York.
The call was issued at the end of a three-day conference at UN headquarters in New York on Friday.
Earlier this week, the US said it was open to enlarging the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) currency reserves, but insisted the dollar would remain "the world’s dominant reserve currency".
The call comes just days before the world’s 20 largest economies (G20) were to meet in London to chart a way out of the global recession.
The UN panel said a new global reserve would be "feasible, non- inflationary and could be easily implemented". It said it would help lessen the difficulties now caused by unbalanced adjustments between surplus and deficit countries.
The 22-member panel is headed by Nobel Economics Prize laureate Joseph Stiglitz, a frequent critic of past US fiscal policy.
"The nature of this crisis has opened up opportunities for change that I think would not have been conceivable even a few months ago," Stiglitz said on Thursday.
The panel made several recommendations to deal with the financial crisis, which it said requires the cooperation of rich and poor nations together to take strong and effective actions to stimulate their economies.
Stiglitz said there has been a growing consensus among UN members that the US dollar-based financial system is problematic. But he warned that the idea of a new global reserve is still a concept that panelists are debating.
He said the current system was "relatively volatile, deflationary, unstable and (had) inequity associated with it".
"Developing countries are lending the United States trillions dollars at almost zero interest rates when they have huge needs themselves," Stiglitz said. "It’s indicative of the nature of the problem. It’s a net transfer, in a sense, to the US, a form of foreign aid."
The panel, known as the Commission of Experts on Reform of International Finance and Economic Structures, was established by the UN General Assembly last year to deal with the widening economic and financial crisis.
The panel believes the creation of a new global reserve would help poor countries through an improved credit system, built on a system of special drawing rights (SDRs) set up by the International Monetary Fund after World War II.
China’s call for a replacement of the US dollar has made the UN proposal for a new currency reserve stronger. Some panelists suggested the SDRs could be used as a new standard of a global reserve currency. Theage, AAP
Böhran şəraitində vahid dünya valyutasının yaradılması barədə müzakirələr daha da intensivləşib. Dünyanın iri inkişafda olan ölkələrinin təşəbbüsü ilə açılan bu müzakirələrə artıq Beynəlxalq Valyuta Fondu (BVF) da qoşulub. «APA-Economics»in məlumatına əsasən, BVF-nın başçısı Dominik Stross-Kan bəyan edib ki, «ehtiyat dünya valyutası barəsində diskussiya haqlıdır və mövcud olmaq hüququna malikdir, lakin bu müzakirələr bir neçə ay çəkəcək».
Xatırladaq ki, Çin Xalq Bankının başçısı Çjou Səoçuan bəyan edib ki, hazırda ayrı-ayrı ölkələrə bağlı olmayan və uzunmüddətli gələcəkdə sabitliyini qoruyub saxlayan ümumdünya ehtiyat valyutasının yaradılması zəruridir. Analoji bəyanatla Rusiya da çıxış edib. Bu təşəbbüslərə ABŞ hökuməti dərhal cavab verib. Belə ki, ABŞ prezidenti Barak Obama, Federal Ehtiyat Sisteminin başçısı Ben Bernanke və maliyyə naziri Timoti Qeytner öz çıxışlarında birmənalı olaraq bu təklifləri rədd edərək, bəyan ediblər ki, dolların mövqeləri çox güclüdür və vahid dünya ehtiyat valyutasının yaradılmasına heç bir ehtiyac yoxdur. B.Obamanın sözlərinə görə, «dollar çox güclüdür, çünki investorlar tərəfindən ABŞ dünyanın ən güclü iqtisadiyyatı olan ölkə və dünyanın ən sabit siyasət sistemi hesab olunur».
Sözügedən müzakirədə əsas məsələlərdən biri vahid valyutanın yaradılması və ya sadəcə dünya miqyasında dollara alternativ valyutanın tapılması sualı ilə bağlıdır. Hazırda dollara alternativ kimi yalnız avro çıxış edə bilər, lakin bunun üçün bir sıra şərt və amillər vacibdir. Avronun 1999-cu ildə yaranmasına baxmayaraq, hazırda dövriyyədə olan nağd avronun həcmi 610 mlrd-a bərabərdir ki, bu da hətta nağd dolların həcmindən də çoxdur. Eyni zamanda neft, qızıl, taxıl və bu kimi dünya miqyaslı ticarət mövqeləri üzrə hesablaşmalar və kotirovkaların aparılması proseslərində dollardan avroya keçid barədə çağırışlar da dolların zəifləməsinə və avronun güclənməsinə xidmət edə bilər. Lakin bütün iqtisadçılar və analitiklər qeyd edirlər ki, hazırda avronun mövqeləri dollardan geri qalır və bu valyutanın dünya miqyaslı valyuta rolunu oynayacağı real görünmür.
BelÉ™liklÉ™, ortaya yeni vahid valyutanın yaradılması mÉ™sÉ™lÉ™si çıxır, lakin bunun da müəyyÉ™n xüsusiyyÉ™tlÉ™ri var. MÉ™sÉ™lÉ™n, neft ixrac edÉ™n ölkÉ™lÉ™rin (OPEC) vahid valyutası, Asiya valyuta vahidi vÉ™ ya BVF-nin Xüsusi Borcalma Hüquqlarının (SDR) bazasında vahid ehtiyat valyutasının yaradılması ideyası çətinliklÉ™rlÉ™ üzləşəcÉ™k. BelÉ™ ki, birinci variantda valyuta hÉ™m neftin qiymÉ™tindÉ™n asılı olacaq, hÉ™m dÉ™ alternativ enerji daşıyıcılarının yaradılması üzrÉ™ fÉ™al iÅŸlÉ™rin aparılmasına görÉ™ qısamüddÉ™tli ola bilÉ™r. HÉ™lÉ™ 2006-cı ildÉ™ Asiya İnkiÅŸaf Bankının qÉ™rarı ilÉ™ yaradılan vÉ™ Asiya-Sakit okean regionunun 13 ölkÉ™sinin valyutasını birləşdirÉ™n Asiya valyuta vahidi (ACU) üç il keçmÉ™sinÉ™ baxmayaraq, nÉ™ vahid regional valyuta, nÉ™ dÉ™ zÉ™if hesab olunan ölkÉ™lÉ™rin valyuta vahidlÉ™rini É™vÉ™z edÉ™ bilib. ÆlavÉ™ olaraq regionun müxtÉ™lif ölkÉ™lÉ™rinin iqtisadi inkiÅŸaf sÉ™viyyÉ™lÉ™rinin hÉ™ddindÉ™n artıq dÉ™rÉ™cÉ™dÉ™ fÉ™rqlÉ™nmÉ™si baxımından ACU-nun vahid Asiya valyutasına çevrilmÉ™si dÉ™ real görünmür.
Buna görə, hazırkı mərhələdə vahid dünya valyutasının yalnız SDR-in bazasında yaradılması müzakirələrinin əsasları var. BVF-nin də bu müzakirələrdən kənarda qalmaması və hətta müvafiq təşəbbüsləri müəyyən dərəcədə dəstəkləməsi həmin amildən irəli gəlir. Qeyd edək ki, bir sıra ölkənin BVF-da olan payı artıq SDR-da nominallaşıb ki, bu da prosesə baza kimi qəbul oluna bilər. Lakin əsas məqam siyasi məsələ ilə bağlı olacaq: ABŞ-ın bu sahədə mövqeləri çox güclüdür və rəsmi Vaşinqtonun dollardan imtina etməsi heç bir variantda real görünmür.
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