Director of the Russian Institute of Political Studies, political scientist Sergey Markov has presented four scenarios of the settlement of the Armenian-Azerbaijani relations, APA’s Moscow correspondent reports.
Four processes of regulation are most likely to occur.
“Main scenario: Azerbaijan will demand Armenia to unconditionally recognize Karabakh as an integral part of Azerbaijan. If Armenia does not recognize it, the agreement regarding the peacekeepers will expire after three years and they will leave Karabakh, Azerbaijani army will quietly enter Karabakh, Armenian army will not even resist because its army is weakened.
The second scenario: In order to destroy Azerbaijan’s plan, Pashinyan will try to either involve Russia in conflict or replace Russia with Russia’s enemies- France, the EU, and the US.
The third scenario: In order to destroy Pahinyan’s this plan, Russia will try to replace Pashinyan with more pro-Russian politicians.
The fourth scenario is that during that period negotiations on a peace deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia will be held on various platforms, however, these negotiations will not yield any results,” Markov noted.