US analyst: “If all the concerned sides in Nagorno Karabakh conflict want to avoid catastrophic results, they should refrain from the war”

US analyst: “If all the concerned sides in Nagorno Karabakh conflict want to avoid catastrophic results, they should refrain from the war”
# 07 April 2011 08:32 (UTC +04:00)
According to the analyst, if all the concerned sides want to avoid catastrophic results, they should refrain from the war.

Speaking about the “big powers’” especially Russia’s influence in the Caucasus, Mr. Tirman mentioned that it is inevitable, “particularly with the predominantly Christian nations”.

“The question is what kind of influence, how beneficial to Armenians and others in the region”, he added. “That will be a topic of discussion for many years”.

Asked if there is any religious obstacle in a way of the Muslim countries like Azerbaijan and Turkey towards integration into the European-Atlantic Structures, the analyst pointed out that, Azerbaijan would likely follow Turkey’s ascension, if at all.

“This far, Europe has delayed Turkey’s membership in the EU, but it is not because Turkey is Muslim, or not only because it is Muslim”, he mentioned. “Turkey also has had serious human rights violations problems, and overly strong military, and economic issues that are problematic. Turkey is moving quickly toward resolving these matters, so we will see, eventually, if the EU can then overcome any lingering anti-Muslim bias. But admitting Turkey to the EU is a major decision, given Turkey’s size, so the EU – which likely expanded too quickly in the last 12-15 years – has a right to be cautious”.

Mr. Tirman also doesn’t see Russia and Iran as the handicaps for their regional neighbors on successfully towards European and Euro-Atlantic integration. “Having “Europe” right next to Russia and Iran seems to be a good thing, not a detriment”, he added.
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