What does Trump's return to White House promise for US and the world? -INTERVIEW

Donald Trump

© APA | Donald Trump

# 27 March 2024 18:55 (UTC +04:00)

“The former President of the United States, Donald Trump, who won the Super Tuesday primaries, guaranteed the chance to become the single candidate for the presidency of the Republican Party. Opinion polls show that he’s slightly ahead of his rival Joe Biden. However, the return of Trump, who has a different opinion on NATO, the war in Ukraine, migration policy, the global economy, abortion rights, etc., back to the White House may put his allies, as well as US citizens, in a difficult position. Trump’s statement that he will become a "dictator for a day" has increased concern about him, especially in the United States.

Trump Republicans frame the planned radical steps with the slogan “America first”. This means that America’s interests must first be taken into account in any matters associated with foreign policy. According to Trump’s supporters, the Biden administration, rather than allocating the US resources within the country and achieving solutions to internal problems, sends them to other countries and this is against the national interests. Andrew Loposser, Chairman of the 8th district of the Republican Party of Virginia, told APA's correspondent assigned to Washington that the United States should first prioritize its interests, and focus on solving internal problems, and that includes relations with NATO countries.

“Our resources firstly should ensure America’s strengthening; we should consider the other countries later. The veterans injured for protecting the security of our country are living in the streets and we are sending money to other countries every month. As a Republican society, we would like those who sacrificed themselves to be taken care of first. We want to help others too, but we should first take care of those who have sacrificed their life, their time, and then focus on the remaining part of the world”.

Andrew Loposser "If Trump comes to power, could he change the focus of US foreign policy from Russia to China?" in his answer to the question, he said that the Republican political establishment does not have a unified position on this and there are supporters of both lines: "Some consider Russia as the main focus, while others are in favor of focusing again on China. I think the best answer is that we are not sure how it will turn out. Some within the party are in favor of continuing aid to Ukraine, while others are in favor of focusing on the Taiwan-China issue. I'm just not sure how that will play out in the next Trump administration. It is possible to support Ukraine. You're seeing a shift from a more conservative wing to a more moderate wing of Congress in support of Ukraine... But on aid to Ukraine - just giving them funding and not knowing where it's ultimately being spent is a major concern for them (Republican congressmen), and for me. We will look at this policy when Trump becomes president."

Matthew Hurtt, Chairman of the Arlington County Republican Committee, says that some of Trump's ideas are just a message to the people and the purpose is to express power. According to him, officials with institutional knowledge who are experts in their fields will take part in making important decisions regarding the priority directions of both domestic and foreign policy.

"Donald Trump has a communication strategy that often confuses communication experts. But the goal here, I think, is to give a direct message to people and express power. As you know, not everything that Trump said before the 2016 election actually happened during his administration. There will be competent, capable people in the State Department, in various elements of our domestic and foreign policy, and they will help implement these issues. We have people with institutional knowledge of regional and other conflicts and history. Therefore, these right people will be in the right places on their first day in office to make the best decisions to ensure not only the sovereignty and security of Americans but also the sovereignty and security of our partners."

However, Democrats consider Trump's plans framed by the slogan "America first" as a direct threat to the country's national interests. Kevyn Creech, Chair of the North Carolina Wake County Democratic Party, says that Trump's promises will result in the isolation of the country and the threat to democracy:

"'America First' means self-isolation and xenophobia. This means that we should live only for ourselves, others should not care about us. But the problem with this approach is that the world (countries) are connected. What we do in America affects people in other countries, and vice versa. Our approach is that our country should be strong, and democratic and provide equal conditions for all of us. We share the planet with others. "America first" means let the economy grow as much as possible, and pollute the environment as it pleases.

According to Kevyn Creech, Trump's fulfillment of his promises for the next presidential term will undermine democracy in the United States and create security problems for other countries.

"Trump has already signaled that he wants to be a dictator. He has already said he will arrest his political enemies and begin mass deportations that will affect mostly black and brown people. Another issue is that he has shown that he is not interested in handing over power peacefully with his activities and the "events of January 6" (attack on the Capitol). He also said that he wants a military state and that he wants the courts to work independently. This can happen very quickly. There are calls for civil war between certain groups in the United States, and he doesn't mind it. Additionally, it will enable Vladimir Putin to do what he wants, stop aid to Ukraine, and leave our NATO allies. This will create problems for the rest of the world," the politician said.

But how realistic are Donald Trump's chances of winning the presidential election?

Steven Greene, a professor at the North Carolina State University, believes that Trump will gradually lose support. According to him, when Biden's pre-election campaign begins in full force, it will focus on reminding Trump of his weaknesses and mistakes.

"According to the polls, Trump is ahead now. But I think that could change at any time. There is good reason to think he will lose support. People have forgotten the worst aspects of his personality and plans, and these campaigns are meant to remind them. Both Trump and Biden have weaknesses. But from a historical perspective, Trump's weaknesses are significantly greater than those of Biden. Biden's campaign will focus on reminding people of Trump's weaknesses. Seeing people attack the Capitol every day and Trump emboldening them to do so, or watching, for example, Trump's speeches on banning abortion and seeing his former defense secretary and national security adviser say, "We think this man is a threat to America," can reduce support for him. Election ads can solve many things. When the campaign is done comprehensively, it will gradually erode support for Trump. Overall, Donald Trump's popularity level - it's still very surprising that about 44% of people intend to vote for him."

The expert thinks that neither the Republicans nor the Democrats have a popular presidential candidate in this election. According to observations, Republicans are constantly trying to create an image of the 81-year-old President Joe Biden as an old and decrepit old man. The Democrats, on the other hand, are trying to reduce support for Trump by keeping his mistakes and radical speeches on the agenda. But the issue of age has also become a dilemma for Republicans. Although Trump seems more energetic than Biden, he is only four years younger than him, and if elected president, he will also be 81 years old in the last year of his administration. Another problem for Trump on the eve of the election is that he faces 91 charges in 4 ongoing criminal cases. However, even if he is arrested, he will retain the right to participate in the elections.