This year hopes for the signing of a peace agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia are dwindling. The main reason for this is the insincerity of the Armenian government, particularly Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, in the peace process and the lack of consecutive steps towards achieving a final peace settlement.
Armenia's insincerity in the peace process was further exemplified on July 18 during the 4th Summit of the European Political Union, where Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev declined to participate in a trilateral meeting with host British Prime Minister Kir Starmer.
Both Baku and the United Kingdom were surprised by Yerevan's outright refusal to engage without providing any rational reasons. President Ilham Aliyev highlighted Armenia's obstinate actions and unstable behavior regarding peace negotiations during his speech at the 2nd Shusha Global Media Forum.
"The U.K. government proposed organizing a meeting between us on the sidelines of an event in Oxfordshire. But the Armenian side refused. We were surprised. Because just four months ago, Chancellor Scholz organized this meeting in Munich where he participated for five to six minutes. And then he left. That was a kind of modality of the meeting. He would meet with both leaders, and then say some introductory remarks, and then leave. And that was what happened. So, the UK government proposed the same with participation of the Prime Minister of the UK. But Prime Minister Pashinyan refused. If he doesn’t want to talk to me, then what kind of peace are we talking about? If he doesn’t want to talk to the UK Prime Minister, then why did he go to London to Oxfordshire?", - the head of state asked legitimate questions.
These steps of Yerevan, which slow down the peace talks, reduce confidence in the soon signing of the peace agreement.
At the same time, the fact that the military-political leadership of Armenia has not yet responded adequately to the calls of official Baku regarding the removal of the reference to the Act of Independence, which contains territorial claims against Azerbaijan in the country's Constitution, and to apply to the OSCE together with Azerbaijan to suspend the activities of the Minsk Group also confirms this finding.
In short, it seems that the official Iravan does not aspire to achieve peace with Azerbaijan, although it makes "peaceful" statements, it sends a message of war with its steps, and conducts the peace process according to the principle of "1 step forward, 2 steps back".
Of course, Yerevan, which is always looking for patrons, does not decide on its own for diplomatic maneuvers with Baku, but takes coordinated steps with its new patrons, especially France, which aims to create instability in the region.
In recent times, with the support of France and several other EU countries, Armenia has taken the path of militarization and arming, instead of lasting peace in the South Caucasus, it has taken the path of creating a new potential source of conflict.
Following Armenia's purchase of "Bastion" multi-purpose armored vehicles and "Caesar" self-propelled artillery units from France, the European Union's allocation of 10 million euros of military support to Armenia from the European Peace Fund serves to create a destructive environment in the region.
Isn't it absurd to allocate funds from the Fund, whose name is peace, to strengthen the defense capacity of Armenia, in other words, to increase military activities against Azerbaijan? What is the purpose of the European Union and the West in this? At a time when the parties are discussing the peace agenda and working on a peace agreement, how can the allocation of millions of euros to Armenia for military purposes contribute to ensuring lasting peace and stability in the region?
On the other hand, the next military exercise called "Eagle Partner 2024" with the United States, ignoring the sensitivity and geopolitical interests of its southern neighbor Iran and Russia, which has been its main military-political ally for many years, shows that Armenia is at the center of very dangerous geopolitical games.
As if this were lost, some circles in the West are trying to provoke Armenia into a new conflict by arming it, and to prevent a favorable opportunity for the progress of peace negotiations.
The general result of the events of the last few months shows that the government of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan, under the influence of patron countries, is trying to withdraw from the process of peace negotiations and create artificial obstacles to the natural course of the process.
Azerbaijan is not interested in a new military conflict in the region, on the contrary, it needs sustainable peace and stability in the region for the implementation of important economic projects.
But the leadership of Armenia should understand that if it continues to abuse the friendly approach of official Baku, tends to revanchism and again creates a real military threat to Azerbaijan, it will immediately receive an adequate and crushing response from Azerbaijan. At this time, no one, including some of his patrons in the West, will be able to save him in any way.
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